Analysis The Influence of Climate Factors With COVID-19 Recovery Rates in DKI Jakarta

Dimas Teguh Ramadhan, Shofiyah Calista Ricadonna, Syalwa Rastia Kaldi

Abstract


COVID-19 is a disease caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus.  The ideal air for the growth of this virus is at a temperature of around 8-10°C with a relative humidity of 60-90%.  From March 2020 to December 2021, there were 7,709,036 cases of recovering positive COVID-19 patients. One of the factors thought to affect the rate of recovery from COVID-19 is climate factors, including the average temperature, average relative humidity of the air, rainfall, length of time.  solar radiation, and average wind speed.  The cure rate for COVID-19 in DKI Jakarta tends to increase from May 2020 to July 2020 and decrease from July 2020 to December 2020. This research was carried out with a spatial analysis using the Poisson regression, negative binomial and generalized Poisson regression methods.  Based on the AIC value model, the most suitable model for this model is the Generalized Poisson Regression.  From this study, it was concluded that the climatic factors that had a significant effect on the recovery rate of COVID-19 in DKI Jakarta were the average temperature, the average relative humidity of the air, the duration of sunlight, and the average wind speed.

Keywords


Poisson regression method; DKI Jakarta; COVID-19; Climate Factor

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References


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